It’s round one of the rivalry between VCU and Richmond this evening at 7 o clock down at the Siegel Center. You can see the game on Facebook and hear it beginning at 6:30 on 99-5 ESPN. The two teams come into this one off different results with the Spiders playing their most complete game in a 78-68 win over George Washington at home. In that one, Richmond shot 58% from the field and showed glimpses of what we expected them to be when the season began. On the other side, you have a VCU team licking their wounds after being blitzed by Dayton at UD Arena 106-79. Before we get more into the matchup, let’s look at some trends.

  • VCU is 8-1 the last three seasons after allowing 80 points or more. They’ve covered seven of those contests
  • The Rams are 11-3 at home in this series since 1997.
  • Richmond is 11-26 the last three seasons as an underdog. They are 15-21 against the spread in that situation.
  • The Spiders have gone over in 10 of their 15 lined contests.

VCU is at their lowest point right now after a horrendous effort vs. the Flyers which makes them real dangerous tonight especially at home where the snowball can roll down the hill quickly with a few turnovers. The Spiders had just 35 turnovers against VCU in their three meetings last year. They have to keep that number down in order to have a chance. The Rams have lost just five times the last three seasons at the Siegel Center. A key to this game is the matchup between Justin Tillman, the double-double machine and Grant Golden who is pretty much UR’s size. If Golden can survive foul trouble inside and can limit Tillman, then Richmond has a chance.  It’s hard to get an accurate reading on either team as each has had wild swings in terms of consistency or lack thereof. I think the home team gets this one, but it won’t be easy. We may be playing within the number for the majority of the contest, before foul shots and late buckets take it to a VCU cover.

VCU 75, Richmond 64

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